Each week throughout the 2023 NFL season, the supercomputer has something to say about every game. No matter if it’s a headliner like Cowboys-Bills or the latest matchup complicated by backup quarterbacks – Vikings-Bengals – it unsentimentally beeps its way through the model’s NFL picks.
Week 15 kicks off Thursday in the AFC West with the Raiders hosting the Chargers. It ends in the NFC with the Eagles visiting the Seahawks on Monday Night Football. For those games and everything between, we’ve taken plenty of data and pumped it through our predictive model. Keep in mind that these percentages move throughout the week as player news shakes things up. You can always find the win percentages – pregame or live – on our season-long predictions page.
It’s mid-December, which means Saturday NFL. The first of three games features the Vikings’ trip to Cincinnati. The Bengals’ season looked to be over when Joe Burrow went down with a torn ligament in his right wrist, but Jake Browning has impressed so far. In fact, his 79.3 completion percentage is the highest through three career starts by any quarterback in the Super Bowl era. Decent for someone who a matter of weeks ago was still a 27-year-old undrafted afterthought. Meanwhile the Vikings – Browning’s first NFL team – will be starting their fourth different QB of the season as Nick Mullens takes the helm. And with Browning leading the way, we give the Bengals a 60.9% chance of winning to get to 8-6:
The Steelers have dominated the all-time series with the Colts. Including the playoffs, Pittsburgh is 26-6 all-time in their meetings. That’s the best record by a team in a current matchup with at least 30 games played. But we think that might start to change on Saturday as our win projections give Indy an edge at 57.5%. That would mark three straight losses for the Steelers and drop them to 7-7, making the thought of their first losing season since 2003 a very realistic possibility with games against the Bengals, Seahawks and Ravens to come:
New Jersey’s finest Tommy Devito has been a revelation for the Giants as he has thrown seven touchdowns in his four starts compared to Daniel Jones’ two in his six starts for New York this season. Unfortunately for Devito, he won’t have his home cooking this weekend as he and the Giants travel to the Big Easy, where the Saints have a win probability of 67.4% to get to 7-7 in the NFL’s most up-for-grabs division:
CeeDee Lamb needs four catches to become the first Cowboys player to ever have 100 receptions in consecutive seasons. Our fantasy projections think Lamb will produce against the Bills, predicting him to have the most fantasy points of any wide receiver in Week 15. But despite Lamb’s production with MVP hopeful Dak Prescott, the supercomputer has the Bills as home favorites with a projected win percentage of 58.5%:
Monday Night Football features two teams in need of a victory. The Eagles have lost consecutive games by 20 points after their 33-13 loss in Dallas last week. They’re headed to Seattle to take on the Seahawks, whose four-game losing streak is the longest of Pete Carroll’s tenure there. Make it five – we think Philly will get back on track with 57.5% confidence:
Here’s one more look at all 16 Week 15 NFL predictions, including the playoff-hopeful Broncos as underdogs in Detroit and a (hopefully) cooled-down Patrick Mahomes leading the Chiefs in Foxborough:
NFL Week 15 Picks
Thursday night:
- Las Vegas Raiders 61.8%, Los Angeles Chargers 38.2%
Saturday:
- Cincinnati Bengals 60.9%, Minnesota Vikings 39.1%
- Indianapolis Colts 57.5%, Pittsburgh Steelers 42.5%
- Detroit Lions 67.8%, Denver Broncos 32.2%
Sunday:
- Atlanta Falcons 57.4%, Carolina Panthers 42.6%
- Cleveland Browns 61.0%, Chicago Bears 39.0%
- Green Bay Packers 60.8%, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 39.2%
- Miami Dolphins 78.0%, New York Jets 22.0%
- New Orleans Saints 67.4%, New York Giants 32.6%
- Tennessee Titans 57.8%, Houston Texans 42.2%
- Kansas City Chiefs 72.2%, New England Patriots 27.8%
- San Francisco 49ers 78.1%, Arizona Cardinals 21.9%
- Los Angeles Rams 71.2%, Washington Commanders 28.8%
- Buffalo Bills 58.5%, Dallas Cowboys 41.5%
Sunday night:
Monday night:
- Philadelphia Eagles 57.5%, Seattle Seahawks 42.5%
If fantasy football is more your thing and you need a hand in the playoffs, check out our weekly fantasy projections and rankings, then use our sit/start comparison tool to help with lineup decisions.
We’ll be back next week for one potential Super Bowl preview with the Cowboys visiting the Dolphins on Christmas Eve followed by another on Christmas Day as the 49ers host the Ravens. The supercomputer will be showing up for the festivities with presents in the form of percentages.