If your favorite FCS football team loses this week, you may have a better chance of winning the Powerball lottery drawing than with cozying up to an upcoming playoff game.

The number of teams in the mix for the 24-team playoff field is huge with two full weeks remaining in the regular season.

The bubble is going to burst for a bunch of them.

Below is a projection of the 2022 FCS playoff, mostly based on where teams stand two weeks out from Selection Sunday, but also with a projection of some necessary scenarios prior to Nov. 20.

Projected Bids by Conference

* – Projected automatic qualifier; other teams are projected as at-large selections

ASUN-WAC (1): *Abilene Christian

Big Sky (4): Idaho, Montana State, *Sacramento State, Weber State

Big South (1): *North Carolina A&T (in reality, the Gardner-Webb/North Carolina A&T winner)

CAA (4): Delaware, Elon, Richmond, *William & Mary

Missouri Valley (3): North Dakota, North Dakota State, *South Dakota State

Northeast (1): *Saint Francis

Ohio Valley (1): *Southeast Missouri

Patriot (2): Fordham, *Holy Cross

Pioneer (1): *Davidson (but more the Butler/Davidson/Dayton survivor)

Southern (4): Chattanooga, Furman, Mercer, *Samford

Southland (2): *Southeastern Louisiana, UIW (projecting Northwestern State to fall from the mix)

First Four Bubble Teams: Eastern Kentucky, Montana, New Hampshire, Youngstown State

Projected Seeds

Top eight seeds receive first-round byes             

1. South Dakota State

2. Sacramento State

3. Montana State

4. North Dakota State

5. Holy Cross

6. Samford

7. UIW

8. William & Mary

Projected Pairings

Playoff games prior to the national championship are played at campus sites

Southeast Missouri at Chattanooga first-round winner at No. 1 seed South Dakota State

Elon at North Carolina A&T first-round winner at No. 8 seed William & Mary

Fordham at Delaware first-round winner at No. 5 seed Holy Cross

Idaho at Weber State first-round winner at No. 4 seed North Dakota State

Saint Francis at North Dakota first-round winner at No. 3 seed Montana State

Davidson at Mercer first-round winner at No. 6 seed Samford

Abilene Christian at Southeastern Louisiana first-round winner at No. 7 seed UIW

Richmond at Furman first-round winner at No. 2 seed Sacramento State

Key Dates to Know

Playoff Selection Show: Sunday, Nov. 20 (12:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU)

First Round: Nov. 26

Second Round: Dec. 2-3

Quarterfinals: Dec. 9-10

Semifinals: Dec. 16-17

Championship Game: Sunday, Jan. 8 at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas (2 p.m. ET, ABC)