Premier League

Not Another London Derby | The Analyst Hat-Trick: Episode Five

Probably the last thing you want as a Tottenham Hotspur fan is yet another Premier League London derby following defeat to Crystal Palace last time out. Spurs have lost four of their last six such matches, as many as they had in their previous 18 such games combined.

That is unless you believe our win probability model which is making Tottenham favourites to be victorious on home soil this Sunday. Although the rest of us, whether it’s you in our Opta Analyst Twitter community or our contributors to the site, aren’t quite as sure.

PredictionSpurs v ChelseaAston Villa v EvertonNewcastle v Leeds United
Opta Analyst CommunityChelsea Win (74.2%)Draw (39.25)Leeds United Win (66.9%)
Win Probability Super ComputerSpurs Win (39.5%)Aston Villa Win (39.2%)Leeds United Win (41.0%)
Ollie HopkinsChelsea WinDrawLeeds United Win
Matt FurnissChelsea WinDrawLeeds United Win
Kevin ChroustChelsea WinDrawLeeds United Win
Jonny WhitmoreChelsea WinDrawLeeds United Win
Duncan AlexanderChelsea WinEverton WinLeeds United Win
Graham BellDrawEverton WinDraw
Andy CooperDrawAston Villa WinDraw

This makes up part of the latest episode of ‘The Analyst Hat-Trick’ which also features a closer look at the Friday clash between Newcastle and Leeds United, as well as Rafa Benitez looking to keep an incredible run of form going against Aston Villa, albeit this time as Everton manager.

Not only that but we also have the win probability model’s outcome for every Premier League game this weekend along with the insights you would expect from The Analyst. And here’s the latest standings in our season-long prediction contest where our community finds themselves neck-and-neck with the super computer. But the less said about the bottom of the table the better, right Duncan?

   
GameWeek 4Season Percentage
Matt Furniss3 of 358.3%
Opta Analyst Community2 of 350.0%
Qwinn Model2 of 350.0%
Andy Cooper2 of 350.0%
Jonny Whitmore1 of 341.6%
Graham Bell0 of 333.3%
Ollie Hopkins1 of 333.3%
Kevin Chroust1 of 333.3%
Jon Manuel0 of 322.2%
Duncan Alexander0 of 322.2%

Don’t forget to follow The Analyst on Twitter to take part in the community polls each week during the course of the season.