Our MLB playoff predictions are updated after every game throughout the season.
How our projection model works: It incorporates each team’s TRACR, win-loss record and strength of schedule to calculate an expected run differential per 27 outs, which is used to simulate the remaining schedule and produce our MLB playoff probabilities. TRACR normalizes performance from league environmental factors that can either inflate or deflate numbers. That’s done by using advanced metrics and other factors on offense and in run prevention (pitching and defense) to calculate how many runs per nine innings better or worse teams are compared to the league-average club during the season.
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