With a place in the Copa America semi-finals on the line, look ahead to this game with our Colombia vs Panama prediction and preview.

Colombia vs Panama Stats: The Key Insights

  • Colombia are the favourites to get through this quarter-final, winning the game inside 90 minutes in 61.6% of the Opta supercomputer’s 10,000 pre-match simulations.
  • Colombia stretched their unbeaten run in all competitions to 26 matches with their draw against Brazil.
  • Panama have won four of their seven competitive matches in the 21st century against opponents from CONMEBOL (losing the other three).

Thomas Christiansen has challenged Panama to keep springing surprises at the Copa America when they face Colombia in the quarter-finals.

After losing their opening game of the tournament 3-1 to free-scoring Uruguay, Panama dug in to cause an upset for host nation United States, coming from behind to win 2-1.

A comfortable 3-1 victory over Bolivia followed to secure second place in Group C as Panama booked their spot in the knockout round of the Copa America for the first time.

Former Leeds United boss Christiansen challenged his team to be the surprise package, but said this result has been years in the making.

“When we were going to leave for the United States, I said I would like to be the surprise [of the tournament], like Morocco in the [2022] World Cup [who made it to the semi-finals],” he told reporters.

“Well, now we’re through to the next round. I am happy. Super happy.

“It’s constant, really, what we have been doing, what we have been reaping in these almost four years.

“[Is it a] coincidence? I don’t believe in coincidences. You have to work. You have to fight for it. Luck alone isn’t enough.”

Colombia have been on an excellent run of late, and took top spot in Group D ahead of Brazil.

Wins over Paraguay and Costa Rica put Colombia in the driving seat before they held Dorival Junior’s side to a 1-1 draw in the final match.

While that may be a surprising outcome on the face of it, Colombia are the form team in South America and are on a 26-game unbeaten streak.

Integral to their success has been James Rodríguez, who is often their talisman at major tournaments, having first come into the spotlight in the 2014 World Cup.

“I feel comfortable, there is still a long way to go, we still have to play on Saturday, but I felt good,” the former Real Madrid star said.

“I am going through a good phase here; we are going step by step. Panama will be difficult, but we will play with a lot of quality.”

Colombia are playing in their sixth consecutive Copa America quarter-final, with each of their last four going to penalties. Los Cafeteros have won twice (against Peru in 2016 and Uruguay in 2021) and lost twice (against Argentina in 2015 and Chile in 2019).

Panama have won four of their seven competitive matches in the 21st century against opponents from CONMEBOL (losing the other three). Two of those victories were against Colombia when they faced each other in the group stage (1-0) and the semi-finals (3-2) of the 2005 Concacaf Gold Cup.

Players to Watch

Colombia – James Rodríguez

James has been a driving force for Colombia at the 2024 Copa America, having already recorded three assists.

Colombia had the best crossing accuracy in the group stage, completing 41% of their crosses (20/49). James was responsible for 11 of their successful crosses – the most of any player in the tournament.

James Rodriguez goal involvements Copa America 2024

Panama – José Fajardo

Out of players who attempted more than five shots in the Copa America group stage, José Fajardo boasted the second-highest shot conversion rate.

He scored with 29% of his attempts (2/7), bettered only by Argentina’s Lautaro Martínez (44%), the tournament’s leading goalscorer.

Colombia vs Panama Prediction

Colombia v Panama Opta prediction

Colombia are backed to win inside 90 minutes by the Opta supercomputer, doing so in 61.6% of its 10,000 pre-match simulations.

Panama succeed in normal time in 18.8% of sims, while the game heads to penalties in the remaining 19.6%.

Colombia vs Panama Squads


Álvaro Montero, Camilo Vargas, David Ospina, Carlos Cuesta, Daniel Muñoz, Davinson Sánchez, Deiver Machado, Jhon Lucumí, Johan Mojica, Santiago Arias, Yerry Mina, James Rodríguez, Jefferson Lerma, Jhon Arias, Jorge Carrascal, Juan Fernando Quintero, Kevin Castaño, Mateus Uribe, Richard Ríos, Yáser Asprilla, Jhon Córdoba, Jhon Durán, Luis Díaz, Luis Sinisterra, Miguel Borja, Rafael Borré. 

Head coach: Néstor Lorenzo 


César Samudio, Luis Mejía, Orlando Mosquera, Amir Murillo, César Blackman, Edgardo Fariña, Eduardo Anderson, Éric Davis, Iván Anderson, José Córdoba, Omar Valencia, Roderick Miller, Abdiel Ayarza, Adalberto Carrasquilla, Carlos Harvey, Cristian Martínez, Jovani Welch, César Yanis, Eduardo Guerrero, Freddy Góndola, Ismael Díaz, José Fajardo, Kahiser Lenis, Puma Rodríguez, Yoel Bárcenas. 

Head coach: Thomas Christiansen 

Enjoy this? Subscribe to our football newsletter to receive exclusive weekly content. You should also follow our social accounts over on XInstagramTikTok and Facebook.