TRACR Rankings and Probabilities of Advancement

(Percentages in the bracket represent the probabilities of the team advancing FROM that round. Teams showing 0.0% have less than a 0.1% probability of reaching that round.)

How our projection model works: TRACR, a team rating adjusted for the team’s conference and current roster, is a net efficiency metric that evaluates team strength based on points per possession. A preseason adjustment, trained on over 15 years of college basketball data, is also included. Factoring these inputs together produces an accurate prediction into how the men’s and women’s teams will perform during the season and into March Madness.

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