With the help of our AI-powered supercomputer, we provide our Premier League match predictions for every match in each gameweek.
The Premier League season in 2023-24 is shaping up to be one of the best in recent memory.
Manchester City are defending champions and the team to beat, though it looks highly competitive around them, with almost half the division starting the campaign with realistic hopes of European qualification.
There is set to be an equally intense battle to avoid relegation at the bottom of the league table, with playing in the Premier League now more valuable financially than ever before.
Our AI-powered Opta supercomputer will be making its match picks for every fixture over the course of what looks set to be an exciting season.
Read on as Opta Analyst provides its Premier League predictions, and be sure to check back here every week.
The Opta supercomputer has delivered its latest selection of match predictions ahead of another key weekend of Premier League football.
Our predictive model has made its picks for the latest round of matches in what remains a crucial period of the season at both ends of the league table.
There were 10 matches last week and the system enjoyed another strong showing with its picks, as favourites and title contenders Manchester City, Liverpool and Arsenal all emerged triumphant. However, Tottenham losing at home to Wolves ensured it was not a perfect sequence of match predictions.
Matchday 26 will see just eight weekend fixtures take place because of the Chelsea-Liverpool EFL Cup final commanding plenty of attention at Wembley. The Reds have already played their MD 26 fixture this week, as they came from behind to beat Luton Town 4-1 at Anfield on Wednesday.
Six of the eight matches will be played on Saturday, with Arsenal facing a key test in the evening fixture as they play Newcastle United at the Emirates Stadium, while Man City must successfully negotiate a trip to Bournemouth.
The only league clash on Sunday will see Wolves host struggling Sheffield United, before a London derby between West Ham and Brentford rounds out the action on Monday.
Ahead of what looks set to be another entertaining group of Premier League fixtures, let’s check out the Opta supercomputer’s match predictions.
Premier League Predictions Matchweek 26: The Quick Hits
- Arsenal backed to triumph and continue their stunning recent Premier League form when they host Newcastle.
- In-form Man City massive favourites to defeat Bournemouth, who have failed to win in six straight matches.
- Manchester United given the edge over Fulham by the Opta supercomputer but Erik ten Hag’s men will have to work hard for a victory.
Aston Villa find themselves back in the top four as their entertaining battle with Tottenham and Man Utd for a UEFA Champions League spot continues. Villa will fancy their chances as they host Nottingham Forest on Saturday, having lost just one of the last 14 home league meetings between the teams.
Unai Emery’s side will now sense an opportunity to get their form at Villa Park back on track. They were 17 matches unbeaten in the Premier League in front of their own fans before losing their last two. But Villa have still scored in each of their last 26 such games, their best goal streak since 1983, and have not lost three home games in a row since Dean Smith was in charge in November 2020.
Additionally, Forest have lost 21 of their 23 top-flight away games against sides starting the day in the top four, so Villa are seen as strong favourites to win by the Opta supercomputer. They are handed a 55.5% chance of victory, with Forest down at 18.9%. Nuno Espírito Santo may gladly take a draw, the chances of which are rated at 25.6%.
Two wins in their last three Premier League games have given Brighton and Hove Albion hope they can still challenge for a European spot as they prepare to take on Everton.
Everton won the corresponding fixture 5-1 last season, in a clinical counter-attacking display. The Toffees have triumphed on their last two league visits to Brighton, but they head into this game on the back of an eight-match winless streak in the top flight. It is the longest ongoing winless run in the division, with Everton having won six of their previous eight before this run (D1 L1).
Brighton thrashed Sheffield United last time out, and are made favourites by the Opta prediction model, at 48.6%, with Everton handed a 23.5% chance of victory.
Crystal Palace are only five points clear of a relegation zone that has contained Burnley throughout what has been a disappointing 2023-24 campaign for Vincent Kompany. His opposite number Oliver Glasner is set to become just the second Austrian to manage in the Premier League after Ralph Hasenhüttl.
Glasner might be worried to learn that only one of the 15 managers to have taken charge of Palace in the competition have won their first game (Alan Pardew against Tottenham Hotspur in 2015), although a more positive statistic is that his new side have lost just one of their last 10 top-flight home games against promoted sides.
Palace are given the edge for this fixture by our predictive model but their win percentage of 44% implies Burnley (26.7%) are more likely than not to get at least something out of the game, with the draw a threat at 29.3% – this fixture is the most likely to be drawn across the Premier League matches this weekend.
Manchester United (50.9%) are eyeing a fifth Premier League win in a row as they welcome mid-table Fulham (21.7%) to Old Trafford.
All eyes are on rampant striker Rasmus Højlund. With at least one goal in each of his last six EPL appearances, the only other Man Utd player to net in more consecutive games in the competition is legendary Dutchman Ruud van Nistelrooy (10 in 2003 and eight in 2001-2002).
Fulham will also be wary of Bruno Fernandes, who has scored the winning goal in both of their last two Premier League meetings with United, including a last-gasp winner in the reverse fixture. But Fulham have a threat themselves in the shape of Rodrigo Muniz, who has scored in each of last three league games, a rapid reversal after going 23 such matches for Cottagers and Middlesbrough combined without finding the net prior to this run.
Man United are backed for victory by the system but not with quite the same confidence as its highest conviction picks this week, so Fulham certainly go into the clash with everything to play for.
Bournemouth are hoping to avoid being dragged into the relegation scrap, so a fixture against a surging Man City is not ideal in the Saturday early evening slot.
Pep Guardiola has won all 12 of his games against Bournemouth in all competitions by an aggregate scoreline of 37-7, his best 100%-win record against an opponent in his managerial career.
Bournemouth have won none of their 19 league games against City (D2 L17), the most any side has ever faced another without winning in English Football League history, and that run is expected to continue. The reigning champions are given an overwhelming 72% chance of victory, with Bournemouth at a meagre 9.5%.
Arsenal are on fantastic form in the league, having scored 11 goals without conceding in return across their last two fixtures. However, they failed to have a shot on target as they lost 1-0 to Porto in the Champions League this week, and Newcastle will be no pushovers.
Newcastle are four league games unbeaten, though our predictor still gives the Gunners the edge. Mikel Arteta’s team are made favourites with a 55.1% chance of winning, while the Magpies have a 19.7% likelihood.
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 11 Premier League home games against Newcastle, with last season’s goalless draw ending a 10-game winning run. Expect Bukayo Saka to be key for the Gunners – he has scored in four consecutive Premier League appearances, scoring as many goals in this run (six) as he managed in his first 20 games this season.
Wolves (53.9%) will like their chances of recording a third win in four matches when they welcome Sheffield United (19.3%) to Molineux on Sunday as they pursue what could be an impressive top-10 berth.
West Ham are looking to half their alarming recent slump when they take on Brentford in a key Monday night battle. Not only have West Ham recorded just three points in 2024 (only Burnley fare worse with two), but they have also conceded at least twice in all five of the Premier League matches they have played against Brentford, losing them all.
The Hammers are bidding to avoid a fourth EPL straight loss in this match and David Moyes may take some comfort from the fact that has not happened since 2006. He may need Lucas Paquetá to return from injury to keep that streak going. When the Brazil playmaker has started this season, West Ham have won 10 of 18 league matches, compared to zero wins in seven matches when he has been missing from the side.
West Ham are given the marginal edge in this match with a win probability of (40.3%), but Brentford are still given a decent chance at (30.9%), with the draw also a big threat at (28.8%), so the Opta supercomputer is expecting a close contest to wrap up the MD 26 action.