Jürgen Klopp’s Reds will once again play the early kick-off on Saturday when they travel down to London. We look ahead to the Premier League clash with our Brentford vs Liverpool prediction and preview.

Brentford vs Liverpool Stats: The Quick Hits

  • Liverpool are tipped to beat Brentford, with the Reds winning 50.3% of pre-match simulations by the Opta supercomputer.
  • The home side has never lost a Premier League meeting between these two teams (W4 D1).
  • Liverpool have won just two of their last eight Premier League games in London (D3 L3).

Match Preview

Liverpool will be hoping to consolidate their leading position in the three-horse Premier League title race alongside Manchester City and Arsenal when they visit Brentford at the Gtech Community Stadium for Saturday’s early kick-off.

Prior to the start of the Matchday 25 schedule, Liverpool will have spent every night since Boxing Day top of the Premier League (53 in a row); that’s exactly as many nights as they’d spent top of the table from the start of the 2020-21 campaign up to Christmas 2023. The Reds sit two points clear of Man City and Arsenal in the league table, though Pep Guardiola’s men still have a game in hand heading into the weekend’s fixtures.

Indeed, Liverpool have 15 more points at this stage of 2023-24 (54) than they had after 24 games last season (39). On three of the last four occasions in the top flight they’ve had 54+ points after 24 games, they have finished second (1990-91, 2018-19 & 2021-22); the other was in 2019-20, when they had 70 and won the league – a feat Jürgen Klopp will want to recreate in his final season at Anfield.

That position at the top comes after Klopp’s side responded to their setback against Mikel Arteta’s Gunners with a 3-1 home victory over Burnley on MD 24. Diogo Jota, Luis Díaz and Darwin Núñez were all on target last Saturday as Dara O’Shea’s second-half response proved redundant for Vincent Kompany’s visitors.

Trent Alexander-Arnold assisted Jota’s opener against Burnley and now has more Premier League assists than any other defender (58), edging one ahead of teammate Andy Robertson (57), but suffered another knee injury against Burnley. The England right-back will miss Saturday’s trip to Brentford, and he’s already been ruled out of the EFL Cup final against Chelsea a week on Sunday. Mohamed Salah is back in training but may not be risked before the final at Wembley.

The absence of Salah has not diminished the power of Liverpool’s attacking force, with only Jota (six) involved in more Premier League goals in 2024 than Núñez (five – three goals, two assists), with the Uruguayan’s header against the Clarets his first league goal at Anfield since October against Nottingham Forest.

Jota has also scored nine Premier League goals overall this season and is looking to hit double figures in a single campaign for just a second time in the competition (15 in 2021-22). The Portuguese forward has scored five goals in his last six league matches and also scored in his only previous top-flight appearance at the Gtech Community Stadium in September 2021.

Aside from Salah and Alexander-Arnold, Klopp’s lineup will remain without the injured Joël Matip, Dominik Szoboszlai, Thiago Alcântara and Stefan Bajcetic. Alisson is reported to have suffered a hamstring problem so will also miss out, though Ibrahima Konaté returns from suspension and will likely partner Virgil van Dijk. Conor Bradley could come back to replace Alexander-Arnold, with Joe Gomez also available after a bout of illness.

As for Saturday’s hosts, Brentford arrested a worrying run of Premier League form with a 2-0 triumph over Wolves at Molineux that lifted Thomas Frank’s side up to 14th in the league table heading into MD 25. Christian Nørgaard capitalised on Sergio Reguilón’s corner to open the scoring last Saturday before Ivan Toney netted once again after his recent return.

Since Toney’s comeback at the end of January, only three players have more goals than his three strikes in four Premier League games. However, Liverpool are one of the four teams he has faced without scoring against in the competition (three games, seven shots, one shot on target).

The English talisman has also found a reliable partner in the industrious Neal Maupay. The former Brighton forward has been directly involved in exactly one goal in each of his first six home league starts for Brentford (four goals, two assists). In Premier League history, only two players have scored or assisted in their first seven home starts for a club: Alan Shearer for Newcastle United (first 15, 1996-97) and Álvaro Negredo for Man City (first 7, 2013).

As for Frank’s team news, Yoane Wissa and Frank Onyeka will return from Africa Cup of Nations duty, although Josh Dasilva, Kevin Schade, Aaron Hickey, Bryan Mbeumo and Rico Henry all remain absent from Brentford’s injury-hit lineup ahead of Saturday’s early kick-off.

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Brentford vs Liverpool Head-to-Head

The home side has never lost a Premier League meeting between Brentford and Liverpool (W4 D1), with the Bees winning this exact fixture 3-1 last season after an own goal from Konaté and strikes from Wissa and Mbeumo. Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain’s second-half reply for the visitors was ultimately meaningless.

Brentford 3-1 Liverpool xG race chart 2022-23

However, Liverpool have never lost consecutive league fixtures against Brentford and have both scored and conceded in all seven of their away league games with Saturday’s hosts.

In the reverse fixture with Brentford this term, Klopp’s men were 3-0 winners at Anfield back in November after Salah’s double and another strike from Jota propelled the Premier League title contenders to victory.

Recent Form

Against Wolves, Brentford kept their first clean sheet across their last 13 Premier League games since their 2-0 victory at Chelsea in October – ending their longest such run without a shutout in the competition – though their home form leaves much for Frank to improve.

Brentford have lost four of their last six home Premier League matches – going down to Man City, Wolves, Aston Villa and Arsenal – as many as they had in their previous 30 such home games combined (W15 D11 L4).

The Bees’ most recent two league defeats at the Gtech have also come after scoring the first goal (2-1 versus Villa and 3-1 against Man City); they had only lost one of their first 25 home games when scoring first in the competition beforehand (W17 D7).

Liverpool, meanwhile, have struggled in the capital. The Reds have won just two of their last eight away Premier League games in London, beating Crystal Palace this term and West Ham towards the end of last season. Indeed, both of their league defeats this season have come in such games, against Tottenham in September and Arsenal earlier this month.

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

Brentford vs Liverpool Prediction

Brentford vs Liverpool Prediction

Liverpool are backed to triumph at the Gtech Community Stadium, with the visitors winning 50.3% of pre-match simulations by the Opta supercomputer.

Brentford only come out on top in 23.1% of 10,000 data-led scenarios, with the draw seemingly more likely as that result occurred 26.5% of the time.

The Reds’ title chances still rank at 25.5%, behind Manchester City (64.6%) but ahead of Arsenal (9.7%), while Brentford’s most likely league-table finish is their current 14th position at 21.4% –though the Bees still have a slim 1.3% likelihood of relegation in Opta’s end-of-season simulations.

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