We look ahead to this Champions League Group F clash with our Borussia Dortmund vs Newcastle prediction and preview.
Borussia Dortmund vs Newcastle: The Quick Hits
- Borussia Dortmund are predicted to get another win over Newcastle United, with the Opta supercomputer handing them a 43.1% chance of victory.
- This will be BVB’s 150th game in the competition, making them just the second Bundesliga side to reach that landmark.
- Newcastle will be looking to score their first goal away from home in the UEFA Champions League since 2003.
After an impressive 1-0 win over Newcastle at St James’ Park, Borussia Dortmund will be looking to repeat the trick back at Signal Iduna Park in one of Tuesday’s early kick-offs on Matchday 4.
Group F is tantalisingly poised at the halfway point, with these two teams level on four points each. Dortmund avoiding defeat here will crucially keep them ahead of Newcastle on head-to-head.
It will be a historic game for the hosts, who will be competing in their 150th match in the UEFA Champions League (W69 D31 L49), becoming only the second German team to play that many since the competition began in 1992-93, after Bayern Munich (285).
While Dortmund were being humbled by Bayern in Der Klassiker on Saturday, losing 4-0 at Signal Iduna Park to Harry Kane and co, Eddie Howe’s men enjoyed a hard-fought 1-0 win against Arsenal. Howe will be hoping to avenge their MD 3 defeat, with the last English manager to win an away game against a German side in the Champions League being Sir Bobby Robson, who led Newcastle to a 3-1 win at Bayer Leverkusen in February 2003.
You have to go back almost as far to find the last Newcastle player to score an away goal in the Champions League, which was Alan Shearer in March 2003 (vs Inter Milan). The Magpies only managed one shot on target in their last away game against Milan, with Union Berlin the only side to have had fewer away from home in the competition this term (0 vs Real Madrid).
Borussia Dortmund may have flopped at home in the Bundesliga at the weekend, but they are unbeaten in their last six home games in the Champions League (W3 D3) and have only conceded one goal in that time. Keep a clean sheet here and it will be the first time they have managed four consecutive clean sheets at home in the European Cup/Champions League.
Dortmund boss Edin Terzić will be hoping Donyell Malen can finally find his shooting boots, with only Napoli’s Victor Osimhen (13) having had more shots without scoring in this season’s Champions League than the Dutchman (12).
Bruno Guimarães has been working hard in this season’s Champions League, having recovered possession (24) and applied more pressures (214) than any other Newcastle player in the competition. He may have tried too hard on certain occasions though, having been booked in his last two Champions League games. He could become the first player to be shown a yellow card in three consecutive Champions League appearances for the club.
Dortmund clearly missed captain Emre Can in their defeat to Bayern, and the former Liverpool and Juventus midfielder will likely be absent again, while exciting young winger Julien Duranville is unlikely to return until after the winter break after continuing to suffer with a thigh injury.
Former Dortmund striker Alexander Isak hasn’t played for Newcastle since sustaining a groin injury in the reverse fixture two weeks ago, while Jacob Murphy – who was also injured in that game – is unlikely to feature after appearing to suffer a recurrence of his shoulder issue against Arsenal. Sven Botman and Harvey Barnes remain sidelined.
Borussia Dortmund vs Newcastle Head-to-Head
Their MD 3 clash was their first ever competitive meeting, with Dortmund running out 1-0 victors at St James’ Park.
An impressive showing from the visitors saw them score the only goal of the game just before half-time through a Felix Nmecha strike.
Dortmund have not won both home and away against an English side in a Champions League campaign since 1996-97 against Manchester United (winning both legs of their semi-final).
BVB have lost just two games all season; their Champions League group stage opener against Paris Saint-Germain (2-0 at Parc des Princes) and against Bayern Munich on Saturday (4-0 at Signal Iduna Park). Since their loss in Paris, Dortmund have won six out of nine games in all competitions (D2 L1).
After their early-season wobble when they lost three consecutive games to Manchester City, Liverpool and Brighton, Newcastle have lost just once – against Dortmund at St James’ Park. Howe’s men have won eight of their last 12 in all competitions (D3 L1), including an impressive 1-0 win against Arsenal at the weekend through an Anthony Gordon goal, becoming the first team to beat Mikel Arteta’s men in the Premier League this season.
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off on Tuesday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
Borussia Dortmund vs Newcastle Prediction
Dortmund are the favourites to complete a double over their English opponents, according to the Opta supercomputer.
Terzić’s side are given a 43.1% chance of another win, which would put them in a strong position in Group F, especially if PSG can also beat Milan.
Newcastle have been handed a respectable 32.1% chance of claiming a vital away win, though, with a remaining 24.8% likelihood of a draw that would certainly be of more benefit to the Magpies.
Newcastle are still judged to have a better chance of progression from the group, with the 10,000 supercomputer simulations seeing them qualify for the last 16 54.4% of the time, with Dortmund advancing just 49.1% of the time.
Borussia Dortmund vs Newcastle UCL Squads
Borussia Dortmund: Gregor Kobel, Alexander Meyer, Silas Ostrzinski, Marcel Lotka, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini, Mats Hummels, Emre Can, Niklas Süle, Julian Ryerson, Lion Semic, Hendry Blank, Özcan, Gio Reyna, Felix Nmecha, Marco Reus, Julien Duranville, Marius Wolf, Julian Brandt, Marcel Sabitzer, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Sebastien Haller, Niclas Füllkrug, Youssoufa Moukoko, Donyell Malen, Karim Adeyemi.
Head Coach: Edin Terzić
Newcastle United: Martin Dúbravka, Loris Karius, Nick Pope, Kieran Trippier, Paul Dummett, Sven Botman, Fabian Schär, Jamaal Lascelles, Matt Targett, Tino Livramento, Dan Burn, Sandro Tonali, Harvey Barnes, Lewis Hall, Miguel Almirón, Sean Longstaff, Bruno Guimarães, Joelinton, Callum Wilson, Anthony Gordon, Alexander Isak, Jacob Murphy, Joe Willock.
Head Coach: Eddie Howe.