Win and you’re in – it’s always the most-riveting scenario with FCS college football games on the day before the announcement of the 24-team playoff pairings.

It’s huge again on Saturday – the final full day of the regular season.

Montana particularly fits the description for an at-large bid, and the FCS’ favorite lightning-rod program (OK, maybe that’s Jackson State these days) is playing in the week’s most visible game against Montana State, and that could have been said even before ESPN’s announcement of a “College GameDay” visit.

It’s the scenario for automatic bids in the Big South (North Carolina A&T at Gardner-Webb) and the Pioneer League (Dayton at Davidson).

Below is a projection of the 2022 FCS playoff field, mostly based on where teams stand in this week leading up to Selection Sunday, but also with a projection of some necessary scenarios.

Projected Bids by Conference

* – Projected automatic qualifier; other teams are projected as at-large selections

ASUN-WAC (1): *Abilene Christian

Big Sky (4): Idaho, Montana State, *Sacramento State, Weber State

Big South (1): *Gardner-Webb (in reality, the North Carolina A&T/Gardner-Webb winner)

CAA (5): Delaware, Elon, New Hampshire, Richmond, *William & Mary

Missouri Valley (3): North Dakota,North Dakota State, *South Dakota State

Northeast (1): *Saint Francis

Ohio Valley (1): *Southeast Missouri

Patriot (2): Fordham, *Holy Cross

Pioneer (1): *Dayton (in reality, the Dayton/Davidson winner)

Southern (3): Chattanooga, Furman, *Samford

Southland (2): *Southeastern Louisiana, UIW

On the Bubble: Austin Peay, Eastern Kentucky, Mercer, Montana, UC Davis, UT Martin

Projected Seeds

Top eight seeds receive first-round byes             

1. South Dakota State

2. Sacramento State

3. Montana State

4. North Dakota State

5. Samford

6. Holy Cross

7. William & Mary

8. UIW

Projected Pairings

Playoff games prior to the national championship are played at campus sites

Southeast Missouri at Chattanooga first-round winner at No. 1 seed South Dakota State

Abilene Christian at Southeastern Louisiana first-round winner at No. 8 seed UIW

Elon at Furman first-round winner at No. 5 seed Samford

Idaho at Weber State first-round winner at No. 4 seed North Dakota State

Dayton at North Dakota first-round winner at No. 3 seed Montana State

Fordham at New Hampshire first-round winner at No. 6 seed Holy Cross

Gardner-Webb at Richmond first-round winner at No. 7 seed William & Mary

Saint Francis at Delaware first-round winner at No. 2 seed Sacramento State

Key Dates to Know

Playoff Selection Show: Sunday (12:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU)

First Round: Nov. 26

Second Round: Dec. 2-3

Quarterfinals: Dec. 9-10

Semifinals: Dec. 16-17

Championship Game: Jan. 8 at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas (2 p.m. ET, ABC)