Probably the last thing you want as a Tottenham Hotspur fan is yet another Premier League London derby following defeat to Crystal Palace last time out. Spurs have lost four of their last six such matches, as many as they had in their previous 18 such games combined.
That is unless you believe our win probability model which is making Tottenham favourites to be victorious on home soil this Sunday. Although the rest of us, whether it’s you in our Opta Analyst Twitter community or our contributors to the site, aren’t quite as sure.
|Prediction||Spurs v Chelsea||Aston Villa v Everton||Newcastle v Leeds United|
|Opta Analyst Community||Chelsea Win (74.2%)||Draw (39.25)||Leeds United Win (66.9%)|
|Win Probability Super Computer||Spurs Win (39.5%)||Aston Villa Win (39.2%)||Leeds United Win (41.0%)|
|Ollie Hopkins||Chelsea Win||Draw||Leeds United Win|
|Matt Furniss||Chelsea Win||Draw||Leeds United Win|
|Kevin Chroust||Chelsea Win||Draw||Leeds United Win|
|Jonny Whitmore||Chelsea Win||Draw||Leeds United Win|
|Duncan Alexander||Chelsea Win||Everton Win||Leeds United Win|
|Graham Bell||Draw||Everton Win||Draw|
|Andy Cooper||Draw||Aston Villa Win||Draw|
This makes up part of the latest episode of ‘The Analyst Hat-Trick’ which also features a closer look at the Friday clash between Newcastle and Leeds United, as well as Rafa Benitez looking to keep an incredible run of form going against Aston Villa, albeit this time as Everton manager.
Not only that but we also have the win probability model’s outcome for every Premier League game this weekend along with the insights you would expect from The Analyst. And here’s the latest standings in our season-long prediction contest where our community finds themselves neck-and-neck with the super computer. But the less said about the bottom of the table the better, right Duncan?
|GameWeek 4||Season Percentage|
|Matt Furniss||3 of 3||58.3%|
|Opta Analyst Community||2 of 3||50.0%|
|Qwinn Model||2 of 3||50.0%|
|Andy Cooper||2 of 3||50.0%|
|Jonny Whitmore||1 of 3||41.6%|
|Graham Bell||0 of 3||33.3%|
|Ollie Hopkins||1 of 3||33.3%|
|Kevin Chroust||1 of 3||33.3%|
|Jon Manuel||0 of 3||22.2%|
|Duncan Alexander||0 of 3||22.2%|
Don’t forget to follow The Analyst on Twitter to take part in the community polls each week during the course of the season.