The hosts will be looking to make it three wins from three as Group A’s action concludes on Sunday night. We look ahead to their final Euro 2024 group game with our Switzerland vs Germany prediction and preview.
Switzerland vs Germany Stats: The Key Insights
- Germany are expected to maintain their 100% record by the Opta supercomputer, predicted to win in 52.3% of data simulations.
- Germany are aiming to become the third host nation to win all three of their group-stage games at a single European Championship after the Netherlands in 2000 and France in 1984.
- Switzerland have lost just one of their last 12 games at the European Championship.
Germany’s Euro 2024 could hardly have gotten off to a better start. First, there was the party-starting 5-1 shellacking of Scotland on the opening evening, and then they brushed aside Hungary in their second group game.
They’ve already qualified for the last 16, and need only a point in this game to lock up top spot in Group A.
Julian Nagelsmann’s side have been purring so far, and their seven goals is the most Germany have ever scored in a European Championship group stage. They are just the second team in history to score seven goals across their first two games of a European Championship campaign, alongside the Netherlands at Euro 2008.
All of that, and they’ve still got a game to go.
Wonderkid Jamal Musiala has two of those, and he is aiming to become the first German player to score in each of his nation’s opening three games at a major tournament (World Cup/Euros) since Miroslav Klose at the 2002 World Cup.
With Musiala and Florian Wirtz operating as two dynamic number 10s and pass masters Toni Kroos and Ilkay Gündogan behind them, Germany have absolutely dominated the midfield areas in both their games so far.
Gündogan has excelled in a more advanced role – and scored in his side’s 2-0 win last time out – while Kroos has rolled back the years from a deeper position. Kroos completed 124 passes against Hungary, with Xavi the only midfielder who has completed more (127) in a Euros game in history. In that same game, the midfielder recorded 43 line-breaking passes, at least 26 more than any other player in the game.
This is the fifth European Championship in which Germany have won their opening two games, after doing so in 1972, 1980, 1996, and 2012. Die Mannschaft won the competition in three of those four previous tournaments – failing only in 2012. They look like serious contenders this year.
Switzerland then have the unenviable task of trying to stop them. They followed up an impressive win against Hungary on MD1, with a more truncated performance against Scotland (1-1). Still, four points sees them sit comfortably in second place.
The Opta supercomputer thinks they have a 99.99% of qualifying for the knockout stage. We asked it for the scenario in which that 0.01% of simulations came true and it almost exploded.
Xherdan Shaqiri (yes, he’s still going and is somehow still younger than Kevin De Bruyne) scored a peach of a curler to level things against Scotland.
Only Cristiano Ronaldo (10 prior to MD2) has scored in more major international tournaments than Switzerland forward Shaqiri, who has now netted at each of the last six such tournaments since and including the 2014 World Cup (Euro 2016, 2018 World Cup, Euro 2020, 2022 World Cup, Euro 2024). He truly is international football heritage and you can’t rule him out scoring another banger.
Switzerland haven’t lost their final group game in any of their last eight appearances at a major international tournament (W5 D3), last doing so at Euro 2004 (3-1 vs France). History suggests they know how to manage these games and keep them competitive.
Switzerland vs Germany Head-to-Head
Switzerland are unbeaten in their last three matches against Germany (W1 D2), with those three matches producing 16 goals, an average of 5.3 per game. The Swiss had lost 16 of their previous 18 matches against the Germans (D2).
Their most recent meeting came in an entertaining 3-3 draw in the UEFA Nations League in 2020. The Swiss actually led that game 2-0 after 26 minutes, but were pegged back by goals from Timo Werner, Serge Gnabry (both not in Germany’s squad) and Kai Havertz (very much in Germany’s squad).
This will be Switzerland and Germany’s first encounter at a major tournament since the 1966 FIFA World Cup; West Germany beat Switzerland 5-0 in the group stage. They also met in the 1938 (Switzerland won 4-2 in a round of 16 replay) and 1962 World Cup (West Germany won 2-1 in the group stage).
Switzerland vs Germany Prediction
The Opta supercomputer backs Germany to overcome Switzerland in this one, giving them a 52.3% of emerging victorious. A point, which would suit both teams in truth, comes in at 24.2%
Switzerland were triumphant in 23.5% of data-led sims.
Switzerland vs Germany Squads
Switzerland
Gregor Kobel, Yann Sommer, Yvon Mvogo, Cédric Zesiger, Fabian Schär, Leonidas Stergiou, Manuel Akanji, Nico Elvedi, Ricardo Rodríguez, Silvan Widmer, Ardon Jashari, Denis Zakaria, Fabian Rieder, Granit Xhaka, Michel Aebischer, Remo Freuler, Renato Steffen, Rubén Vargas, Steven Zuber, Vincent Sierro, Xherdan Shaqiri, Breel Embolo, Dan Ndoye, Kwadwo Duah, Noah Okafor, Zeki Amdouni.
Head coach: Murat Yakin
Germany
Manuel Neuer, Marc-André ter Stegen, Oliver Baumann, Antonio Rüdiger, Benjamin Henrichs, David Raum, Jonathan Tah, Joshua Kimmich, Maximilian Mittelstädt, Nico Schlotterbeck, Robin Koch, Waldemar Anton, Emre Can, Chris Führich, Florian Wirtz, Ilkay Gündogan, Jamal Musiala, Leroy Sané, Pascal Groß, Robert Andrich, Toni Kroos, Deniz Undav, Kai Havertz, Maximilian Beier, Niclas Füllkrug, Thomas Müller.
Head coach: Julian Nagelsmann
Switzerland vs Germany Predicted Lineups
Our football newsletter ‘Stat, Viz, Quiz’ is going all in on Euro 2024 this summer, so sign up to receive exclusive content. You should also follow our social accounts over on X, Instagram, TikTok and Facebook.